2025 Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) presidential election

2025 Liberal Democratic Party leadership election
4 October 2025
590 delegates (first round), 342 delegates (second round)
Majority of delegate votes needed to win
 
Candidate Sanae Takaichi Shinjirō Koizumi Yoshimasa Hayashi
First round 183 (31.07%) 164 (27.84%) 134 (22.75%)
Runoff vote 185 (54.25%) 156 (45.75%) Eliminated
Previous President

Shigeru Ishiba

 President

Sanae Takaichi

The 2025 Liberal Democratic Party presidential election was held on 4 October 2025 to elect the next president of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan.

The election was called after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced that he would resign on 7 September 2025 as President of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan.[1]

In the first round of voting, Sanae Takaichi came in first place during the first round of voting with 31.07% of the vote. Shinjirō Koizumi came in second with 27.84% of the vote, meaning that both Koizumi and Takaichi advanced to the runoff. In the runoff, Takaichi garnered 54.25% of the vote against Koizumi, resulting in the election of the LDP's first woman president and most likely Japan's first woman Prime Minister.[2]

Candidates

Declared

Candidate(s) Date of birth Current position Party faction Electoral district Reference(s)
Yoshimasa Hayashi		 19 January 1961
(age 64)		 Chief Cabinet Secretary
(since 2023)
Minister for Foreign Affairs
(2021–2023)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2021)
Previous offices held
 None
(former Kōchikai)
Yamaguchi 3rd		 [3]
Takayuki Kobayashi		 29 November 1974
(age 49)		 Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2012)
Previous offices held
  • Minister of State for Economic Security (2021–2022)
 None
(former Shisuikai)
Chiba 2nd		 [4]
Shinjirō Koizumi		 14 April 1981
(age 44)		 Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (since 2025)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2009)
Previous offices held
 None
Kanagawa 11th district		 [5]
Sanae Takaichi		 7 March 1961
(age 64)		 Member of the House of Representatives
(1993–2003; since 2005)
Previous offices held
  • Minister of State for Economic Security (2022–2024)
  • Minister for Internal Affairs and Communications (2014–2017; 2019–2020)
 None
(former Seiwa Seisaku Kenkyūkai)
Nara 2nd district		 [6]
Toshimitsu Motegi		 10 July 1955
(age 68)		 Secretary–General of the Liberal Democratic Party
(2021–2024)
Minister for Foreign Affairs (2019–2021)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 1993)
Previous offices held
 None
(former Heisei Kenkyūkai)
Tochigi 1st district		 [7]

Declined

Polling

(Figures in parentheses are approval ratings of Liberal Democratic Party supporters)

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Sanae
Takaichi		 Shinjirō
Koizumi		 Yoshimasa
Hayashi		 Takayuki
Kobayashi		 Toshimitsu
Motegi		 Others NOT/
UD/NA
29–30 Sep NTV/JX[15] (1,210) (35) (28) (23) (5) (4) – (5)
27–28 Sep ANN[16] 1,025
(340)		 31
(24)		 33
(41)		 14
(16)		 3
(3)		 5
(4)		 – 14
(12)
27–28 Sep Yomiuri[17] 3,143[a]
(519)[b]		 25
(28)		 40
(41)		 16
(13)		 5
(8)		 4
(4)		 – 10
(6)
27–28 Sep Kyodo News[18] (1,044) (34.4) (29.3) (19.5) (3.8) (5.2) – (7.8)
26–28 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo[19][20][21] 915
(284)		 34
(28)		 25
(33)		 14
(20)		 4
(3)		 5
(6)		 – 18
(9)
23–24 Sep NTV/JX[22] (1,108) (34) (28) (17) (5) (4) – (12)
20–21 Sep Sankei/FNN[23][24] 1,018
(284)		 28.3
(22.5)		 25.7
(35.2)		 11.1
(18.6)		 4
(4)		 3.8
(5.3)		 – 27
(14.4)
20–21 Sep Asahi[25] 1,176
(306)		 28
(24)		 24
(41)		 9
(10)		 5
(3)		 4
(8)		 – 30[c]
(14)[d]
20–21 Sep Mainichi/SSRC[26][27] 1,972
(375)		 25
(22)		 21
(40)		 10
(11)		 2
(5)		 3
(5)		 4 34
(17)
19–20 Sep NTV/JX[28] (1,010) (28) (32) (15) (7) (5) – (14)
13–14 Sep Senkyo.com/JX[29] 995 23.4 26.7 14.1 3.8 6.5 – 25.4

Results

Full results by round
Candidate First Round Runoff
Diet members Party members Total points Diet members Prefectural chapters Total points
Votes % Popular votes % Allocated votes % Total votes % Votes % Votes % Total votes %
Sanae Takaichi 当 64 21.77% 119 40.34% 183
31.07% 149 50.68% 36 76.60% 185
54.25%
Shinjirō Koizumi 80 27.21% 84 28.48% 164
27.84% 145 49.32% 11 23.40% 156
45.75%
Yoshimasa Hayashi 72 24.49% 62 21.02% 134
22.75% Eliminated
Takayuki Kobayashi 44 14.97% 15 5.08% 59
10.02%
Toshimitsu Motegi 34 11.56% 15 5.08% 49
8.32%
Total 294 100.00% 295 100.00% 589 100.00%
Valid votes
Invalid and blank votes
Turnout
Registered voters

Notes

  1. ↑ LDP supporters
  2. ↑ LDP members
  3. ↑ None of these: 25%; Don't know: 5%
  4. ↑ None of these: 11%; Don't know: 3%

References

  1. ↑ "Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigns". www.bbc.com. 2025-09-07. Retrieved 2025-09-08.
  2. ↑ "Takaichi wins LDP leadership vote; likely to become Japan's first female PM". The Japan Times. 4 October 2025. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  3. ↑ 日本放送協会 (September 16, 2025). "自民総裁選 林官房長官が立候補の意向を表明". NHKニュース. Retrieved September 16, 2025.
  4. ↑ "Ex-minister Kobayashi says to run in Japan's ruling party leadership race". KyodoNews. Retrieved 11 September 2025.
  5. ↑ Sugiyama, Satoshi; Yamazaki, Makiko (2025-09-16). "Japan's Koizumi, Hayashi run for leadership of ruling party". Reuters. Retrieved 2025-09-17.
  6. ↑ "Japan veteran lawmaker Takaichi says she will run in LDP leadership race". chinadailyhk. Retrieved 2025-09-18.
  7. ↑ Takahara, Kanako (2025-09-08). "Race to replace Ishiba kicks off as LDP heavyweight Motegi throws hat into ring". The Japan Times. Retrieved 2025-09-08.
  8. ↑ "Japan PM Ishiba announces resignation". NHK World Japan. Retrieved 7 September 2025.
  9. ↑ 【速報】上川前外相、総裁選出馬見送り. Kyodo News (in Japanese). 20 September 2025. Retrieved 20 September 2025.
  10. ↑ "Japan's ruling LDP to pick new leader after PM Ishiba resigns". Al Jazeera. 9 September 2025. Archived from the original on 9 September 2025. Retrieved 11 September 2025.
  11. ↑ 産経新聞 (2025-09-15). "＜独自＞小泉陣営の選対本部長に加藤財務相就任へ 安倍・菅氏側近、保守路線継承鮮明に". 産経新聞：産経ニュース (in Japanese). Retrieved 2025-09-15.
  12. ↑ 政治部, 時事通信 (2025-08-28). "連立組み替えや部分連合「努力を」 岸田前首相、再登板は否定：時事ドットコム". 時事ドットコム (in Japanese). Retrieved 2025-09-08.
  13. ↑ 自民総裁選　河野太郎氏、小泉農相を支持の意向　周囲に伝える [Taro Kono tells those around him that he will support Agriculture Minister Koizumi in the LDP presidential election]. Kanagawa Shimbun (in Japanese). 2025-09-18. Retrieved 2025-09-18.
  14. ↑ "【速報】野田聖子氏　小泉進次郎農水大臣の推薦人となる方向で最終調整". TBS (in Japanese). 2025-09-18. Retrieved 2025-09-19.
  15. ↑ 【自民党総裁選】“党員・党友”調査　高市氏が35％で前回に続き1位　小泉氏と競り合い、林氏追う [[LDP Presidential Election] Survey of party members and supporters: Takaichi takes first place with 35%, as in the previous election, competing with Koizumi and chasing Hayashi]. Nippon Television (in Japanese). 2025-10-01. Retrieved 2025-10-01.
  16. ↑ 自民“次の総裁”小泉氏がトップ　ANN世論調査 [Koizumi tops LDP "next president" list in ANN poll]. TV Asahi News (in Japanese). 2025-09-09. Retrieved 2025-09-29.
  17. ↑ 小泉氏と高市氏が先行し林氏が追う展開も決選投票の公算、「連立」トップは維新…読売調査 [Koizumi and Takaichi lead, followed by Hayashi, but a runoff election is likely. The Ishin Party will be the leader of the coalition... Yomiuri survey]. Yomiuri Shimbun (in Japanese). 2025-09-28. Retrieved 2025-09-28.
  18. ↑ 総裁選、小泉氏と高市氏が競る　林氏追う展開、決選投票の公算大 [Koizumi and Takaichi compete in the LDP presidential election, with Hayashi in hot pursuit, likely to lead to a runoff election]. Kyodo News (in Japanese). 2025-09-28. Retrieved 2025-09-28.
  19. ↑ 「次の自民党総裁」高市氏34%首位　小泉氏25%、林氏14%で続く 日経世論調査 [Takaichi leads the race for the next LDP president with 34%, followed by Koizumi with 25% and Hayashi with 14%. - Nikkei opinion poll]. The Nikkei (in Japanese). 2025-09-28. Retrieved 2025-09-29.
  20. ↑ 「次の総裁」自民支持層は小泉氏33%で首位　高市氏28%、林氏20% 日経世論調査 [Koizumi leads LDP supporters for "next president" with 33%, followed by Takaichi at 28% and Hayashi at 20% - Nikkei opinion poll]. The Nikkei (in Japanese). 2025-09-29. Retrieved 2025-09-29.
  21. ↑ テレ東・日経　9月世論調査 次の自民党総裁　高市氏がトップ　自民支持層なら小泉氏逆転 [TV Tokyo/Nikkei September opinion poll: Takaichi tops the list for next LDP president, overtaking Koizumi among LDP supporters]. TV Tokyo (in Japanese). 2025-09-28. Retrieved 2025-09-29.
  22. ↑ 【自民党総裁選】“党員・党友”電話調査　高市氏が34％で1位…前回トップの小泉氏上回る [[LDP Presidential Election] Telephone survey of party members and supporters reveals Takaichi comes in first with 34%... surpassing Koizumi, who came in first last time]. Nippon Television (in Japanese). 2025-09-25. Retrieved 2025-09-25.
  23. ↑ 自民の次期総裁は高市氏が28％でトップ、小泉氏25％、林氏11％　産経FNN世論調査 [Sankei FNN poll: Takaichi tops LDP next president list with 28%, followed by Koizumi at 25% and Hayashi at 11%]. Sankei Shimbun (in Japanese). 2025-09-22. Retrieved 2025-09-22.
  24. ↑ “次期総裁相応”高市氏28.3%・小泉氏25.7%　「経済政策」「社会保障」6割以上が生活に直結する政策の議論求める【FNN世論調査】 [Takaichi 28.3% and Koizumi 25.7% are "suitable for the next president" - Over 60% want discussion of "economic policy" and "social security" policies that directly affect people's lives [FNN poll]]. Fuji News Network (in Japanese). 2025-09-22. Archived from the original on 2025-09-22. Retrieved 2025-09-22.
  25. ↑ 自民党総裁にふさわしいのは　高市氏28%、小泉氏24%　朝日世論 [Asahi Shimbun: 28% of respondents think Takaichi is best suited to be LDP president, 24% say Koizumi]. The Asahi Shimbun (in Japanese). 2025-09-21. Retrieved 2025-09-21.
  26. ↑ 次の総裁は高市氏トップ　石破氏退陣を容認51％　毎日新聞世論調査 [Takaichi to be next LDP president; 51% approve of Ishiba's resignation, Mainichi Shimbun poll]. Mainichi Shimbun (in Japanese). 2025-09-21. Retrieved 2025-09-21.
  27. ↑ 「次の総裁」自民支持層は小泉氏1位　全体と傾向異なる　世論調査 [Koizumi tops LDP supporters for next party president, poll shows, differing from overall trend]. Mainichi Shimbun (in Japanese). 2025-09-21. Retrieved 2025-09-21.
  28. ↑ 【独自】小泉進次郎氏が32％で1位　“党員・党友”電話調査　自民党総裁選 [[Exclusive] Shinjiro Koizumi tops LDP presidential election with 32% of votes in telephone survey of party members and supporters]. Nippon Television (in Japanese). 2025-09-21. Retrieved 2025-09-21.
  29. ↑ 2025年9月実施 [Implementation in September 2025]. Senkyo.com (in Japanese). 2025-09-17. Retrieved 2025-09-25.
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